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The sharp downside of success: how a third North Korean nuclear test could change the strategic dynamic in Northeast Asia

By Rod Lyon and Hayley Channer

This paper explores the effects of a successful third North Korean nuclear test on the Northeast Asian security dynamic.

A successful test, of around fifteen kilotons, could bring to the fore a slew of serious strategic issues in Northeast Asia, creating problems for North Korea's neighbours and further afield.  The paper considers the implications for Australia and regional security.

A related blog post can be found on ASPI's The Strategist.