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The human tide: An Australian perspective on demographics and security
Monday, 29 June 2009

This report, authored by Mark Thomson, looks at demographics and security from an Australian perspective.The economic and demographic transition of countries from poverty to prosperity has been a driving force of history over the past two centuries, and is set to rem...

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North Korea: the reverberations of 25 May by Rod Lyon
Thursday, 4 June 2009
This Policy Analysis, authored by Rod Lyon, assesses the strategic consequences of North Korea’s second nuclear test. He argues that this test is more troubling than the first: it points to a North Korean arsenal that is permanent and growing rather tha...
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Contest Two and counter extremism: Lessons for Australia by Anthony Bergin
Tuesday, 2 June 2009

This year the Rudd government will issue a counter-terrorism white paper. In the preparation of the new white paper, this Policy Analysis, authored by Anthony Bergin, examines what Australia can learn from the UK approach with respect to domestic counter ext...

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The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence Budget Brief 2009-2010
Wednesday, 27 May 2009
This report, prepared by Mark Thomson, gives interested readers greater access to the complex workings of the Defence Budget and promotes informed debate on Defence budget issues.
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Rudd's Army: A Deployable Civilian Capacity for Australia
Monday, 25 May 2009

Following the response to the 2020 Summit’s recommendations, the Rudd government has agreed to establish a Deployable Civilian Capacity (DCC) for the rapid deployment of civilian experts to assist in international disaster relief, stabilisation and post-conflict reconstruction efforts.

This Policy An...

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Around the world in ninety minutes—what an Australian satellite surveillance system could do
Thursday, 21 May 2009
The recent Defence White Paper included a surprise announcement of a new Australian-owned satellite surveillance capability. This ASPI Policy Analysis, authored by Andrew Davies, describes the potential benefits of such a system and explains how the choice of o...
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Assessing the Defence White Paper 2009 by Rod Lyon and Andrew Davies
Thursday, 7 May 2009
This Policy Analysis, authored by Rod Lyon and Andrew Davies, reviews the recently released Defence White Paper
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Changing Asia, rising China, and Australia’s strategic choices by Rod Lyon
Friday, 17 April 2009
This Policy Analysis, authored by Rod Lyon, examines the current debate over how Australia should react to the growth of Chinese power. Media reports that highlight the different views of China held by Australia’s defence planners and its intelligence agencies miss a key point: we can’t know what s...
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Democracy postponed: Fiji and Australian policy choices by Anthony Bergin
Wednesday, 15 April 2009

This Policy Analysis, authored by Dr Anthony Bergin, examines the political situation in Fiji following a Presidential announcement last Friday which abolished the constitution, assumed all governing power and revoked all judicial appointments. He examines international reactions to the coup and outlines options for...

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A view of China's Defence White Paper by Andrew Davies
Tuesday, 24 March 2009

This Policy Analysis, authored by Andrew Davies, examines China's latest paper in its series of biennial Defence White Paper.

While still guarded in many respects, the White Paper exhibits greater transparency than some of its predecessors, something the West has been requesting. But more tra...

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Sea change: Advancing Australia's ocean interests
Wednesday, 18 March 2009

Australia claims jurisdiction over more of the earth than any other country—around 27.2 million square kilometres or 5% of the planet, ahead of Russia and the US. Of this, our maritime domain is around 4% of the planet’s oceans. This Strategy, authored by Sam Bateman and Anthony Bergin,...

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The Obama administration and US strategic policy by Rod Lyon and Kellie Kayser
Tuesday, 17 March 2009

This Policy Analysis, authored by Rod Lyon and Kellie Kayser, assesses how much change we are seeing in US strategic policy under the new administration in Washington.

President Obama has already begun a campaign to ‘renew’ American global leadership after the Bush years. He has been expl...

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Special Report Issue 22 - Countering internet radicalisation in Southeast Asia
Friday, 6 March 2009

Since its inception, the internet has been used by terrorist groups around the world to disseminate propaganda and tradecraft materials. But as the internet has evolved in recent years, it is being used more and more as a...

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Strategic Insights 46 - North Korea: Sliding towards the abyss
Thursday, 5 March 2009

North Korea, marginalised as an issue in recent years by a host of other problems, looks likely to return to the forefront of international concern in 2009. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has already noted that North Korea might be sliding—much earlier than expected&...

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Special Report Issue 21 - Australian naval combat helicopters-the future
Friday, 27 February 2009
This Special Report reviews the current RAN helicopter fleet, including the annual flying hours and costs. It finds that Navy is doing a fair job at keeping the existing fleet in the air, although the flying hours don’t come cheaply. The loss of the eleven Seasprites ...
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Special Report Issue 20 - 2008-09 mid-year Defence budget update
Tuesday, 3 February 2009
This Special Report, authored by Mark Thomson, examines defence funding as of late 2008 taking account of the government's mid-year budget revisions, the latest Defence Annual Report and the Global Financial Crisis.
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A safer Australia: Meeting the challenges of homeland security by Anthony Bergin
Friday, 30 January 2009
This Policy Analysis, authored by Dr Anthony Bergin, outlines eight critical challenges in Australian homeland security. It suggests that protecting Australia at home from a wide range of threats is a national enterprise that requires determined efforts by all tiers of government, the private sector and the wi...
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Australian Defence Almanac 2008-2009
Thursday, 18 December 2008

The Almanac, authored by Raspal Khosa, is a unique publication that brings together a wealth of information across the full-range of Defence activity in a single, easy-to-use reference source. It is an up-to-date, fact-filled resource that places otherwise difficult to find Defence information at the reader’s ...

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The 4th Australia and Japan 1.5 Track Security Dialogue, 10-11 December 2007, Canberra. Proceedings.
Thursday, 18 December 2008

The 1.5 Track Security Dialogue is an initiative of ASPI and the Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA). It aims to assist the two governments to address and explore, through frank and sustained exchanges, their respective policy approaches and options on global, regional and local security issues.

Pa...

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Strategic Insights 45 - Strategic choices: Defending Australia in the 21st century
Tuesday, 16 December 2008
This Strategic Insight contains two papers that examine Australia’s ability to fund defence into the future and the costs of various future ADF force structures. The first paper, authored by Mark Thomson, explores defence spending into the future and finds that there is no fundamental reason preventing g...
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Special Report Issue 19 - All in a day's work: Business and Australian disaster management
Monday, 15 December 2008

This report of an Independent Task Force examines the contribution that business can make to Australian disaster management. The Task Force makes a number of important recommendations to integrate the private sector into our disaster response capabilities.

Task Force members were Anthony Bergin, Alex Candetti,...

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The devil in the detail: Australia's first National Security Statement by Carl Ungerer and Anthony Bergin
Wednesday, 10 December 2008
This Policy Analysis, authored by Carl Ungerer and Anthony Bergin, examines the inaugural Australian National Security Statement released last Thursday by the Prime Minister. The statement goes some way to outlining the broad range of risks and threats facing Australia, but it represents only a partial strateg...
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Coming to terms with the Taliban-dominated insurgency by Raspal Khosa
Tuesday, 2 December 2008
This Policy Analysis, authored by Raspal Khosa, discusses the nature of the Taliban-dominated insurgency and examines prospects of a troop surge being applied to the escalating Pakistan-Afghanistan insurgency.
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Special Report Issue 18 - Risky business: Measuring the costs and benefits of counter-terrorism spending
Thursday, 20 November 2008

This report examines the utility of employing cost-benefit analysis for measuring national counter-terrorism expenditures. In a period of global financial turmoil and economic uncertainty, governments need better metrics and more rigorous assessment tools for national security planning.

The report, authored by...

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Strategic Insights 44 - Stepping up: Part-time forces and ADF capability
Wednesday, 19 November 2008

Armed forces around the world are making increasing use of part-time personnel to sustain operational deployments and to deliver levels of capability beyond those possible with their full-time forces.

The report, written by Andrew Davies and Hugh Smith, argues that some changes could help the ADF Reserve forc...

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China: what sort of great power will it be? by Rod Lyon and Christine Leah
Friday, 7 November 2008

This Policy Analysis, authored by Rod Lyon and Christine Leah, examines the current debate over what sort of great power China is likely to become.  It looks at Chinese grand strategy, use of force, leadership style and domestic behaviour to gain a better understanding of China’s future role as a strategi...

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Communicating risk: Revising Australia's counter-terrorism alert system by Anthony Bergin
Friday, 31 October 2008
This Policy Analysis, authored by Anthony Bergin, examines the new national terrorism alert system for Australia that was introduced 1 October 2008. It’s not clear if the announced changes will in practice assist in guiding local decision makers, industry and the public on the kinds of protective measur...
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Global jigsaw: ASPI's strategic assessment 2008
Friday, 24 October 2008
Written by Rod Lyon and Christine Leah, the Assessment argues that Australia will increasingly have to find its security in a world of power shifts and greater interconnectedness. Despite its current financial difficulties, the US will remain the world’s strongest power. But we are witnessing a gradual ...
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Special Report Issue 17 - The thin green line: Climate change and Australian policing
Thursday, 23 October 2008
This report examines the implications of climate change for Australia's police forces and officers. It is written by Anthony Bergin and Ross Allen. The report has a number of recommendations including the creation of an information hub and the development of risk assessments of the locations that wil...
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Annual Report 2007-2008
Monday, 20 October 2008
ASPI's annual report with details of operations, corporate governance and financials.
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A whole-of-government approach to international assistance by Anthony Bergin
Wednesday, 17 September 2008

This Policy Analysis, authored by Anthony Bergin, discusses the new Asia Pacific Civil-Military Centre of Excellence which will open in Queanbeyan in November. It will focus on bringing a range of agencies together to develop practical contributions to stabilisation, reconstruction and peacekeeping. The Centre ...

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Strategic Insights 43 - Improving development and respecting sovereignty: Australia and Papua New Guinea
Wednesday, 10 September 2008

Australia and Papua New Guinea have a close relationship. A change in government in Australia and the recent re-election of Sir Michael Somare provide an opportunity for reassessment and readjustment to restore a more productive interaction between the two countries.

This report, written by Ronald May, conside...

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The eagle in a turbulent world: US and its global role
Thursday, 4 September 2008

Australia is one of the US’s closest allies, and its interest in America’s role in the world is both direct and immediate. Regardless of who wins the election,the US is not about to disengage from the world. Still, there are possibilities for important shifts in US strategic behaviour.

‘Alte...

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ADF capability review: C4ISR(EW) by Douglas Abdiel and Andrew Davies
Thursday, 28 August 2008
The command and control networks and intelligence collection and dissemination systems of the Australian Defence Force are a core part of overall capability. One of the challenges faced in pulling together the ADF’s overall information ...
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Special Report Issue 16 - Public opinion in Australia towards defence, security and terrorism
Friday, 22 August 2008

This paper traces the public’s changing views of the main issues relating to defence and security over an extended period. Authored by Professor Ian McAllister, it identifies three key views of the public on defence and security. ASPI contributors include Carl Ungerer, Rod Lyon and Andrew Davies.

T...

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An all-hazards approach to national security: Preparing for and responding to threats to Australian agriculture by Carl Ungerer
Tuesday, 19 August 2008
This Policy Analysis, authored by Carl Ungerer, examines current threats to the Australian agricultural sector from either a deliberate or accidental disease outbreak.
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Nuclear disarmament and its limits by Rod Lyon
Monday, 7 July 2008
This Policy Analysis,authored by Dr Rod Lyon, explores the broad issue of nuclear weapons and their role in the international security environment.
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Strategic Insights 42 - Asian military trends and their implications for Australia
Thursday, 3 July 2008
Australia's military capability edge in the Asian region has been facilitated by a relative economic advantage that is now eroding. Asian militaries are now expanding and acquiring sophisticated capabilities. This paper, authored by Andrew Davies, examines the drivers of this trend and looks at the implication...
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Tangled webs: Security architectures in Asia
Tuesday, 1 July 2008
The report, authored by William Tow, presents a broad overview of regional security architectures and a guide for Australian policy makers o...
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Man-Portable Air Defence Systems (MANPADS): Countering the Terrorist Threat
Monday, 30 June 2008
This report, a product of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, was prepared in collaboration with the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. Andrew Davies was the project manager for ASPI. It is available on the DFAT...
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Neighbourhood watch: The evolving terrorist threat in Southeast Asia
Wednesday, 25 June 2008
The regional terrorist threat remains high on the list of Australia's national security priorities. It is time to take stock of the regional security environment and to ask how the Southeast Asian terrorist threat might evolve in the future.  This report, authored by Peter Chalk and Carl Ungerer, analyses the ...
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Strategic Insights 41 - Policing our ocean domain: Establishing an Australian coast guard
Friday, 6 June 2008
The paper, authored by Derek Woolner, calls for the establishment of a new statutory authority, the Australian Coast Guard, out of the current Border Protection Command that is directly responsible to a Minister for the assessment of intelligence, planning and implementation of operations and future improvements to mar...
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The Cost of Defence: ASPI Defence budget brief 2008-2009
Thursday, 29 May 2008
This report, prepared by Mark Thomson, gives interested readers greater access to the complex workings of the Defence Budget and promotes informed debate on Defence budget issues.
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Extra PDFs (alternatively, you may download it in different format)
Section_0_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Directors Intro and Executive Summary
Section_1_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 1
Section_2_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 2
Section_3_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 3
Section_4_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 4
Section_5_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 5
Section_6_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 6
Section_7_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 7
Section_8_2008_final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 8
Section_9_2008 _final.pdf Cost of Defence 2008-09 Section 9

Seeing Indonesia as a normal country: Implications for Australia
Tuesday, 27 May 2008

Indonesia has changed markedly in the recent past and has become a more democratic and pluralist country.

The report, authored by Professor Andrew MacIntyre and Dr Douglas E Ramage, urges Australia to understand the new stable landscape of Indonesia. It makes a number of specific policy recommendations includi...

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Strategic Insights 40 - Making it count: Australia's involvement in Afghanistan
Thursday, 15 May 2008

The paper, authored by Raspal Khosa, argues that Australia’s security interests are tied to the success of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) mission. The paper advances three key recommendations on how to increase the effectiveness of Australia’s commitment at little additional cost. Fir...

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How much will the Joint Strike Fighter cost Australia? by Andrew Davies
Monday, 12 May 2008
One of the uncertainties surrounding Australia’s proposed purchase of the Joint Strike Fighter is its cost. At the half way mark of the development program we can make some reasonable estimates of what Australia will have to pay. This Policy Analysis con...
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ADF capability review: Royal Australian Air Force by Andrew Davies
Thursday, 8 May 2008
The Rudd Government is developing a Defence White Paper that aims to align resources, capability and strategic aims. To provide a baseline for discussions of options for future force structures, ASPI will produce a series of capability snapshots that disc...
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Strategic Insights 39 - Taking a punch: Building a more resilient Australia
Wednesday, 7 May 2008
The paper, authored by David Templeman and Anthony Bergin, examines how Australia can bounce back from all hazards, not just terrorism. The paper recommends a number of specific measures to build a more resilient Australia.
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ADF capability review: Australian Army by Mark Thomson and Andrew Davies
Friday, 2 May 2008
The Rudd Government is developing a Defence White Paper that aims to align resources, capability and strategic aims. To provide a baseline for discussions of options for future force structures, ASPI will produce a series of capability snapshots that disc...
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Proliferation central: Syria's nuclear, chemical and biological weapons by Carl Ungerer
Tuesday, 29 April 2008
This Policy Analysis by Carl Ungerer examines the threat posed by Syria’s nuclear, biological and chemical weapons following recent revelations of a plutonium reactor being built with North Korean assistance in the Syrian Desert. The paper argues that Sy...
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ADF capability review: Royal Australian Navy by Andrew Davies
Thursday, 24 April 2008
The Rudd Government is developing a Defence White Paper that aims to align resources, capability and strategic aims. To provide a baseline for discussions of options for future force structures, ASPI will produce a series of capability snapshots that discu...
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